
290 
FNUS54 KMRX 171929
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR TO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEKEND. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCES WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA TODAY 
AND TONIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO BRING SOME 
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS. FOLLOWING THE COLD 
WEEKEND...A WARMING TREND WITH SUNNY SKIES AND CLEAR COOL NIGHTS IS 
IN STORE THROUGH MID WEEK. 

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-182030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-6)   42-47 (0)    28-33        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-1)   49-54 (-17)  82-87        30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N 10 G23     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 22                      W  8         
DISPERSION                         75 GOOD                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-182030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-6)   39-44 (-1)   26-31        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  50-55 (-21)  87-92        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 11 G26                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  8 G17    NW 13 G27    NW  5 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6300                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      NW  9        
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-182030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-7)   42-47 (+1)   26-31        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  35-40 (-34)  80-85        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G17     N 10 G23     N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 PM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6200                      2600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-182030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      29-34 (-9)   49-54 (+5)   27-32        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (0)    30-35 (-35)  84-89        17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N 10 G23     N  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 23                      NW  7        
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-182030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      28-33 (-11)  48-53 (+5)   26-31        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (+4)   30-35 (-39)  84-89        17-22        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N 10 G19     N 11 G25     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 24                      N  8         
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   6 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-182030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-6)   45-50 (-1)   28-33        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-1)   40-45 (-19)  85-90        31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N 10 G23     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                                          
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      W  7         
DISPERSION                         68 GOOD                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-182030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      31-36 (-7)   49-54 (+2)   29-34        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   36-41 (-20)  87-92        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G20                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  9 G21     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      W  6         
DISPERSION                         73 GOOD                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-182030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
329 PM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 /229 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   51-56 (+3)   30-35        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-3)   35-40 (-21)  87-92        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G21                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G15     N  9 G21     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                                           
PRECIP BEGIN                                                              
PRECIP END                                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 21                      NW  6        
DISPERSION                         80 GOOD                   10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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