
217 
FNUS54 KMRX 170738
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR TO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS WEEKEND. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL 
DISTURBANCES WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA TODAY 
AND TONIGHT...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO BRING SOME 
LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS. FOLLOWING THE COLD 
WEEKEND...A WARMING TREND WITH SUNNY SKIES AND CLEAR COOL NIGHTS IS 
IN STORE THROUGH MID WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-180900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-7)   31-36 (-4)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (-10)  88-93 (-2)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  6        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      N 21         
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   68 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-180900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   30-35 (-3)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-12)  89-94 (-7)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW 10 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8 G15    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 22         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               57 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-180900-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-8)   29-34 (-4)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-12)  91-96 (-2)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      N  8 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         N  6 G16     N  8 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 15                      N 21         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-180900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-9)   32-37 (-6)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-7)   84-89 (-2)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      N  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  6         N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           10           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      N 21         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-180900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (-9)   31-36 (-8)   49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-1)   84-89 (0)    33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      5100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 18                      N 23         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             5                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 30. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-180900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-7)   33-38 (-4)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  81-86 (-7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  5        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 16                      N 18         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-180900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-6)   34-39 (-4)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-12)  81-86 (-6)   35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  5         LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 17                      N 17         
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-180900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
338 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2009 /238 AM CDT SAT OCT 17 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-6)   34-39 (-5)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-11)  79-84 (-5)   33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  9 G19                  N  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  6         N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 20                      N 18         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   58 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS NEAR 70. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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