
684 
FNUS54 KMRX 161927
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A DEEP LOW PRESSURE TROUGH WILL BRING UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR TO THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A SERIES OF UPPER 
LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING SOME SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA 
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO BRING 
SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      35-40 (-5)   41-46 (-6)   30-35        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-2)  61-66 (-13)  85-90        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7 G15                 N  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    NW  9 G17    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.07         0.05         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N 29         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   101 VERY GOOD

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-7)   39-44 (-7)   28-33        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   63-68 (-16)  95-100       50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  9 G18                 N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW 11 G21    NW 11 G20    NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           70           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.13         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      6100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N 28         
DISPERSION                         27 FAIR                   80 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-8)   40-45 (-7)   28-33        42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-15)  93-98        38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G18                  N  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N 10 G20     N 10 G20     N  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.15         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      N 28         
DISPERSION                         18 GEN POOR               67 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-7)   45-50 (-7)   31-36        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   54-59 (-10)  83-88        33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 10 G21                  N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N 12 G22     N 10 G19     N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N 29         
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   90 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-4)   44-49 (-9)   31-36        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-8)   53-58 (-8)   83-88        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G20                  N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 12 G21     N 10 G19     N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N 32         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   93 GOOD      
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (-5)   44-49 (-6)   32-37        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-5)   57-62 (-15)  85-90        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    NW  7        NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           FRZ DRZL     SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.05         0.03         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      N 26         
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (-5)   45-50 (-6)   33-38        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-7)   54-59 (-14)  84-89        40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G16                 N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     N  6         N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.01         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      N 26         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
327 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 /227 PM CDT FRI OCT 16 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-4)   45-50 (-7)   34-39        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-7)   55-60 (-10)  79-84        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  9 G19                  N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N 10 G19     N  7 G16     N  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      N 26         
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               100 GOOD     

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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