
515 
FNUS54 KMRX 160754
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
WEATHER CONDITIONS MORE TYPICAL OF EARLY WINTER ARE ON THE WAY...AS 
A COLD AIR MASS WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION TODAY THROUGH THE 
WEEKEND. A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL BRING SOME 
SHOWERS TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND...AND 
TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD ENOUGH TO BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170900-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   34-39 (-7)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (-13)  95-100 (0)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N 16         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170900-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-6)   33-38 (-7)   39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-9)   95-100 (0)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  5        NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.05         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     N 16         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170900-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-7)   32-37 (-8)   40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-22)  95-100 (+1)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        N 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.04         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     N 15         
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170900-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-6)   36-41 (-8)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-27)  90-95 (-5)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  6         N 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 12                      N 17         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170900-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   37-42 (-5)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-33)  87-92 (-10)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      N 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           30           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N 18         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             8                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   37-42 (-6)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-17)  88-93 (-9)   57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     N 13         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170900-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   38-43 (-5)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-27)  88-93 (-9)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      N 15         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170900-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
354 AM EDT FRI OCT 16 2009 /254 AM CDT FRI OCT 16 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-7)   39-44 (-5)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-24)  88-93 (-6)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  6         N 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           SPRINKLES    NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N 13                      N 17         
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS NEAR 70. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

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