
548 
FNUS54 KMRX 151904
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS AN ACTIVE 
JET STREAM BRINGS A NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. A LIGHT SNOWFALL COULD OCCUR SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO EARLY SUNDAY...MAINLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF SOUTHWESTERN
VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND THE SMOKY MOUNTAINS. 

HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE AREA
MOST DAYS...DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION. DRY WEATHER
RETURNS NEXT WEEK FOR MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-5)   46-51 (-7)   32-37        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  65-70 (-15)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  6        NW  5        NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.03         0.10         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-7)   46-51 (-7)   32-37        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  67-72 (-11)  95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  8        NW  7        NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           30           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.03         0.17         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 14                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS AND
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-9)   46-51 (-10)  33-38        40-45        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  60-65 (-22)  90-95        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     N  9 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  7 G15    NW  8        N  7         N 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.02         0.14         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...LIGHT FREEZING
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-8)   50-55 (-9)   37-42        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   57-62 (-28)  79-84        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G16                  N 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        N  9 G16     N  8 G16     N 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     N 22         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-9)   51-56 (-7)   35-40        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  55-60 (-33)  83-88        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8                      N 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  9 G16    N  8 G15     N 12 G21     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 16                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               51 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-5)   49-54 (-8)   35-40        44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   62-67 (-16)  91-96        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        NW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     NW 22        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               61 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   49-54 (-9)   37-42        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   61-66 (-25)  89-94        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6                     N  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  5        N  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.01         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     N 20         
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   59 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
304 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 /204 PM CDT THU OCT 15 2009/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-8)   51-56 (-9)   39-44        46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  57-62 (-27)  83-88        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G15                 N  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        NW  9 G16    N  8 G15     N 10 G19     
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20           
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                                   8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 AM                                   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      N 21         
DISPERSION                         36 FAIR                   65 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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