
639 
FNUS54 KMRX 150815
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS AN ACTIVE 
JET STREAM BRINGS A NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS 
THE AREA...DUE TO THE CLOUDS AND RAIN. DRY WEATHER RETURNS NEXT 
WEEK   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160915-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+1)   40-45 (-5)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   95-100 (-1)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.03         0.06         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160915-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+3)   40-45 (-6)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      73-78 (-2)   90-95 (-6)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  6        NW  7 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.03         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW 13        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160915-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   40-45 (-8)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   93-98 (0)    62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160915-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   42-47 (-9)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   95-100 (+1)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     N 13         
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160915-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   41-46 (-9)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    95-100 (-2)  58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  8 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             10                        4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+3)   42-47 (-5)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-9)   95-100 (-3)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.02         0.05         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160915-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (0)    42-47 (-7)   51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   95-100 (0)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.02         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160915-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
415 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2009 /315 AM CDT THU OCT 15 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   45-50 (-8)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   95-100 (+2)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.02         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1700                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     N 14         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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