
633 
FNUS54 KMRX 141849
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE JET STREAM WILL BRING ANOTHER DISTURBANCE ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TOMORROW...PRODUCING OCCASIONAL RAIN. A 
SURGE OF DRIER BUT COLDER AIR WILL ARRIVE ON FRIDAY AS THE JETSTREAM 
PUSHES SOUTH OF THE AREA. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-152000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-1)   55-60 (+2)   40-45        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  72-77 (-6)   95-100       62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.43         0.05         0.04         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               30 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-152000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-2)   55-60 (+3)   40-45        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   73-78 (-2)   95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.40         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 23        
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-152000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (-3)   55-60 (-1)   40-45        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  74-79 (-3)   95-100       57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.46         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-152000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-3)   58-63 (-2)   42-47        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  76-81 (-2)   95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G16                  N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.48         0.05         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-152000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   58-63 (-2)   41-46        54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   79-84 (-2)   95-100       54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.46         0.06         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 22        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          9                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-3)   57-62 (+2)   42-47        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  70-75 (-10)  93-98        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.43         0.04         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 14                     NW 20        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-152000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   56-61 (-2)   42-47        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  77-82 (-6)   95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.44         0.03         0.03         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 18        
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-152000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
249 PM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 /149 PM CDT WED OCT 14 2009/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   58-63 (-3)   45-50        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  77-82 (-3)   95-100       58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.45         0.03         0.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     NW 21        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   43 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS NEAR 70.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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