
765 
FNUS54 KMRX 140830
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL BE BACK IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS AN 
ACTIVE JET STREAM BRINGS A NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THE SYSTEMS WILL HAVE MORE THAN ENOUGH 
MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR PERIODS OF SHOWERS...RIGHT INTO THE FIRST 
HALF OF THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL 
ACROSS THE AREA...DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-11)  43-48 (-3)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+16)  95-100 (+2)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SE  5        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.19         0.25         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-11)  44-49 (-4)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+5)   91-96 (-4)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G18                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G18    SE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.20         0.28         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150930-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-9)   46-51 (-5)   54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+15)  95-100 (-1)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G18                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.61         0.16         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      W 21         
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-8)   49-54 (-5)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+18)  94-99 (-1)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G17                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G17    LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.12         0.40         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER
60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-9)   48-53 (-6)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+15)  93-98 (-4)   69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G16                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.64         0.12         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      W 20         
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             7                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-11)  45-50 (-5)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+12)  95-100 (+1)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.17         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-10)  46-51 (-6)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+17)  95-100 (+4)  66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.14         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      SW 21        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
430 AM EDT WED OCT 14 2009 /330 AM CDT WED OCT 14 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-9)   50-55 (-6)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+24)  95-100 (+3)  73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           RAIN         RAIN         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.10         0.42         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SW 23        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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