
681 
FNUS54 KMRX 131906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

.DISCUSSION...
RAIN WILL BE BACK IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...AS AN 
ACTIVE JET STREAM BRINGS A NUMBER OF DISTURBANCES ACROSS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS. THE SYSTEMS WILL HAVE MORE THAN ENOUGH 
MOISTURE AVAILABLE FOR PERIODS OF SHOWERS...RIGHT INTO THE FIRST 
HALF OF THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL 
ACROSS THE AREA...DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-142015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (-2)   51-56 (-11)  42-47        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   68-73 (+7)   95-100       70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8        SE  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.36         0.07         0.21         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 14                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-142015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    51-56 (-10)  43-48        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (0)   59-64 (-6)   95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G18                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G18    SE  8 G16    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.50         0.10         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-142015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+1)   53-58 (-9)   45-50        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  70-75 (+9)   95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G19                 SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G19    S  7         S  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.61         0.07         0.26         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-142015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   56-61 (-9)   48-53        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  73-78 (+13)  95-100       64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G18                 S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G18    SE  6        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.33         0.67         0.03         0.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 23                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-142015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+3)   55-60 (-10)  47-52        60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  67-72 (+5)   95-100       65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G16                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  8 G16    SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.78         0.06         0.32         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 25                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               0 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          9                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-142015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    53-58 (-11)  44-49        55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  69-74 (+4)   95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  7        SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           100          90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.44         0.06         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 15                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-142015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   54-59 (-11)  45-50        57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  78-83 (+13)  95-100       71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            2            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.44         0.04         0.30         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 15                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-142015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
306 PM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009 /206 PM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+1)   58-63 (-9)   49-54        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  76-81 (+16)  95-100       66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        S  5         W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.49         0.02         0.37         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      1400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

