
692 
FNUS54 KMRX 130742
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

...BREEZY WINDS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ON WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THIS WEEK...WITH PERIODS OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED AT 
TIMES THROUGH SATURDAY. IN FACT...SEVERAL INCHES OF TOTAL RAINFALL 
WILL BE POSSIBLE BY SATURDAY. WHILE THIS RAINFALL SHOULD NOT OCCUR 
TOO QUICKLY...THE LONG DURATION OF THE RAIN MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR 
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS AT TIMES DURING THE WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-140830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   47-52 (0)    49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-20)  86-91 (-9)   80-85        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      E  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.09         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     S 13         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-140830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   47-52 (0)    49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-21)  88-93 (-9)   80-85        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE 10 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.21         0.55         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     S 17         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-140830-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+7)   49-54 (0)    51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-19)  92-97 (-4)   83-88        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  8 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.70         0.60         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S 16         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S 
TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 
IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO 
MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-140830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+6)   51-56 (0)    54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-18)  93-98 (-3)   83-88        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     SE 11 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  6        LGT/VAR      SE 10 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         1.19         0.67         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      S 17         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-140830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   50-55 (0)    53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-18)  93-98 (-1)   83-88        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      SE 13 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         1.14         0.78         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S 17         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-140830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+7)   50-55 (0)    52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-17)  88-93 (-7)   80-85        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    2            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.26         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     S 13         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. WARMER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-140830-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   52-57 (0)    54-59        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (-16)  92-97 (-4)   81-86        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.58         0.44         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      S 13         
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-140830-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT TUE OCT 13 2009 /500 AM CDT TUE OCT 13 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+5)   54-59 (0)    57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-13)  93-98 (-1)   84-89        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7        NE  5 G15    S  9 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            80           100          
PRECIP DURATION                    4            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         1.40         0.53         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  9                     S 13         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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