
528 
FNUS54 KMRX 121912
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THIS WEEK...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED ALMOST EVERY 
DAY THIS WEEK. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON THURSDAY...BRINGING AN INCREASED 
POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-131000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+1)   63-68 (+5)   44-49        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  45-50 (-24)  86-91        68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE  8 G20    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.05         0.15         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     SE 10        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
40S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-131000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (0)    62-67 (+6)   43-48        48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  48-53 (-25)  92-97        74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G27    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      NE  5        SE 13 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.08         0.23         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 12                     S 17         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-131000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (0)    63-68 (+7)   46-51        52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  49-54 (-28)  86-91        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 14 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  5         E  5         S 12 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.34         0.38         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2900                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     S 18         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-131000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (0)    67-72 (+8)   51-56        58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (-1)  50-55 (-27)  87-92        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         SE 10 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.56         0.48         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     S 20         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.
EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-131000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (0)    66-71 (+8)   51-56        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  51-56 (-27)  85-90        64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NW  5        LGT/VAR      SE  9 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.56         0.61         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     SW 20        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-131000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-1)   66-71 (+6)   45-50        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+2)  46-51 (-24)  92-97        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  9 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            60           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM                      8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.11         0.20         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  7                     SE 13        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-131000-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-1)   65-70 (+4)   50-55        56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  51-56 (-21)  90-95        71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        S  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           70           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.31         0.24         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  6                     SE 10        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-131000-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
312 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2009 /212 PM CDT MON OCT 12 2009/

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+1)   66-71 (+4)   54-59        59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    55-60 (-18)  89-94        73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G20    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  7 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           80           80           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            5            8            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.61         0.31         
LAL                   1            1            1            1            
LASI                               2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 2800                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W  6                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TROUTMAN

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