
165 
FNUS54 KMRX 120724
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THIS WEEK...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED ALMOST EVERY 
DAY THIS WEEK. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP 
OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY ON THURSDAY...BRINGING THE 
POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAINFALL.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-130815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-2)   45-50 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+10)  95-100 (+3)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 13        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-130815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-7)   45-50 (0)    64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+18)  95-100 (+2)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7                     NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        S  6         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.54         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW 12        
DISPERSION            0 VERY POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S 
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE 40S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-130815-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-8)   47-52 (0)    65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+23)  95-100 (+1)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.80         0.04         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2100                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
EAST WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 
TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S 
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-130815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-10)  50-55 (0)    70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (+26)  95-100 (-1)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.01         0.06         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS 10 MPH OR 
LESS. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-130815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-14)  48-53 (-1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+33)  95-100 (+3)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         1.24         0.09         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  9                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            1 VERY POOR               12 POOR      
MAX LVORI             9                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 
WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-130815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-4)   48-53 (0)    69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      68-73 (+16)  95-100 (+3)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  7        
DISPERSION            4 VERY POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST 
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
HIGHS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-130815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-3)   49-54 (-1)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+15)  95-100 (+3)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.02         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    1900                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     N  5         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-130815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2009 /500 AM CDT MON OCT 12 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-5)   52-57 (0)    71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+22)  93-98 (-1)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   8 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.73         0.02         0.01         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  8                      N  5         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. EAST WINDS 10 MPH OR LESS. 
.WEDNESDAY...RAIN. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 
TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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