
715 
FNUS54 KMRX 111519 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...WITH MILD TEMPERATURES AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED. AN 
ACTIVE PATTERN IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK... 
WITH RAINFALL EXPECTED FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY... 
BRINGING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-121630-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   45-50 (+2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-26)  86-91 (-11)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-121630-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+5)   44-49 (+2)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-31)  86-91 (-11)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-121630-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+6)   46-51 (+2)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-32)  86-91 (-11)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         1.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-121630-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+5)   50-55 (+3)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-29)  93-98 (-4)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         1.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-121630-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+6)   49-54 (+2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-32)  93-98 (-4)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         1.61         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-121630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+7)   46-51 (+2)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-28)  86-91 (-11)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-121630-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+6)   48-53 (+2)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-25)  86-91 (-11)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-121630-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1119 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009 /1019 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   53-58 (+4)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-23)  85-90 (-12)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         1.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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