
561 
FNUS54 KMRX 110722
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...WITH MILD TEMPERATURES AND TRANQUIL CONDITIONS EXPECTED. AN 
ACTIVE PATTERN IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK... 
WITH RAINFALL EXPECTED FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN DEVELOP OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY... 
BRINGING A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-120800-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+9)   45-50 (+2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-32)  86-91 (-11)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-120800-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+7)   44-49 (+2)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (-35)  86-91 (-11)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           60           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       4 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.43         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-120800-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   46-51 (+2)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-35)  86-91 (-11)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         1.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-120800-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   50-55 (+3)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-29)  93-98 (-4)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         1.33         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-120800-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+3)   49-54 (+2)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-31)  93-98 (-4)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         1.61         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 10        
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         8            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-120800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+9)   46-51 (+2)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      38-43 (-30)  86-91 (-11)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 3            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.34         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-120800-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+8)   48-53 (+2)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (-29)  86-91 (-11)  57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.49         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-120800-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 11 2009 /500 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (+6)   53-58 (+4)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (-23)  85-90 (-12)  65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            40           80           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN                       12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         1.02         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  6                      SW  9        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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