
749 
FNUS54 KMRX 101550
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY LINGER EARLY TODAY BEHIND PASSAGE OF A COLD 
FRONT. DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL RETURN FOR THE WEEKEND. AN ACTIVE 
PATTERN IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK...WITH 
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED FROM MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG 
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE REGION ON THURSDAY NIGHT 
AND FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-111700-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-18)  46-51 (-10)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+11)  93-98 (-2)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO
MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-111700-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-18)  46-51 (-10)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+17)  95-100 (0)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  6         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-111700-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (-17)  45-50 (-10)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (+21)  95-100 (+3)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-111700-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-15)  47-52 (-10)  69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (+15)  95-100 (+2)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N  6         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-111700-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-14)  46-51 (-10)  70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (+16)  95-100 (+2)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     W  6         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   9 POOR       
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-111700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-17)  47-52 (-11)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+14)  92-97 (-2)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-111700-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-17)  47-52 (-10)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+11)  93-98 (-2)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-111700-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1150 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009 /1050 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-16)  49-54 (-8)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+7)   93-98 (+1)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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