
586 
FNUS54 KMRX 100723
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...BRINGING DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR FOR THE 
WEEKEND. AN ACTIVE PATTERN IS THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FOR THE 
UPCOMING WEEK...WITH WIDESPREAD RAINFALL EXPECTED FROM MONDAY 
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE 
REGION ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-110815-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-15)  46-51 (-10)  65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (+10)  90-95 (-5)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-110815-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (-16)  46-51 (-10)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+16)  92-97 (-3)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      W  6         
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-110815-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (-15)  45-50 (-10)  64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+15)  94-99 (+1)   38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      NW  6        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S 
TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-110815-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-16)  47-52 (-10)  69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+14)  93-98 (0)    37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     N  6         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-110815-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-15)  46-51 (-10)  70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (+14)  91-96 (-2)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 14                     W  6         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   9 POOR       
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-110815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-15)  47-52 (-11)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+14)  90-95 (-4)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     NW  6        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-110815-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-15)  47-52 (-10)  68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      64-69 (+8)   92-97 (-3)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-110815-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 10 2009 /500 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-15)  49-54 (-8)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (+9)   93-98 (+1)   36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            6 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LAL                   1            1            1            
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  9                      N  6         
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S
TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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