
111 
FNUS54 KMRX 090842
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

...WIND ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY...BRINGING WINDY CONDITIONS AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL LIKELY BECOME SEVERE... 
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ANOTHER 
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY 
NIGHT...BRINGING ADDITIONAL SCATTERED SHOWERS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-100930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+8)   55-60 (-2)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   90-95 (+4)   69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G27                 N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 17 G29    W  9 G23     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.24         0.06         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     W 13         
DISPERSION            88 GOOD                   1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-100930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+7)   54-59 (-4)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+12)  90-95 (+3)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G25                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G27    W 13 G26     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.15         0.07         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 15         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-100930-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+9)   55-60 (-5)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  90-95 (+5)   75-80        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 16 G32                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 18 G33    W 10 G30     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.23         0.08         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 38                     W 13         
DISPERSION            52 GEN GOOD               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-100930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   57-62 (-5)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+16)  90-95 (+7)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G26                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G27    W  9 G24     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.26         0.10         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 35                     W  9         
DISPERSION            74 GOOD                   2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-100930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+3)   56-61 (-6)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+17)  90-95 (+3)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G23                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G24    NW 12 G24    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.23         0.11         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     W 14         
DISPERSION            63 GOOD                   2 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         7            

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-100930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+9)   56-61 (-1)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   90-95 (-1)   69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G27    W  9 G20     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.23         0.07         
LAL                   3            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 37                     W  9         
DISPERSION            97 GOOD                   4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-100930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+9)   57-62 (-1)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   90-95 (-3)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G27                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G28    W  6 G21     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.33         0.07         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 40                     W  7         
DISPERSION            114 VERY GOOD             4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-100930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 9 2009 /500 AM CDT FRI OCT 9 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   58-63 (-4)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   90-95 (+5)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G24                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G26    W  6 G22     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.27         0.08         
LAL                   4            5            1            
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     W  9         
DISPERSION            105 VERY GOOD             6 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS NEAR 70.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 

$$

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