
138 
FNUS54 KMRX 081910
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL
GIVE WAY TO A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT. WINDY CONDITIONS CAN BE 
EXPECTED ON FRIDAY WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS...AND SCATTERED 
THUNDERSTORMS LASTING INTO SATURDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...MAINLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND 
EVENING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-092015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+17)  77-82 (+6)   55-60        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (-6)   47-52 (+13)  92-97        67-72        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 13 G29                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     SW 14 G27    SW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.08         0.36         0.17         
LAL                   1            3            5            4            
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      3300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 38                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         122 VERY GOOD             12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-092015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+13)  76-81 (+6)   54-59        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+5)  51-56 (+17)  95-100       69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 14 G33                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     SW 13 G32    SW 11 G22    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.17         0.23         
LAL                   1            3            4            4            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-092015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+16)  75-80 (+7)   55-60        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+2)   49-54 (+14)  89-94        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 15 G31                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G20     SW 14 G29    SW 14 G28    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.07         0.29         0.42         
LAL                   1            3            4            4            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-092015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+17)  78-83 (+4)   59-64        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   51-56 (+19)  83-88        62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 12 G25                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G19    SW 11 G23    SW 11 G23    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.40         0.42         
LAL                   1            3            4            4            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      2700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         64 GOOD                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-092015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+17)  78-83 (+3)   60-65        69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-9)   50-55 (+19)  77-82        59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G22                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  6        SW 10 G23    S  9 G19     LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.11         0.29         0.35         
LAL                   1            3            4            4            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      2900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 26                     SW  6        
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               4 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-092015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+15)  80-85 (+8)   56-61        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-1)   46-51 (+12)  94-99        69-74        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 10 G22                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW 12 G22    SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           70           70           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            3            2            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.31         0.20         
LAL                   1            3            5            4            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6400                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         148 VERY GOOD             18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-092015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+16)  79-84 (+7)   56-61        64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  51-56 (+12)  95-100       70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 12 G23                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     SW 12 G22    SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.18         0.47         0.27         
LAL                   1            3            5            4            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     W  9         
DISPERSION                         139 VERY GOOD             15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-092015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
310 PM EDT THU OCT 8 2009 /210 PM CDT THU OCT 8 2009/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+14)  79-84 (+4)   57-62        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  54-59 (+14)  95-100       70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW 11 G24                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G19     SW 11 G25    SW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           50           90           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.23         0.50         0.40         
LAL                   1            3            5            4            
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      2800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 31                     SW  8        
DISPERSION                         119 VERY GOOD             11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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