
259 
FNUS54 KMRX 071914
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
INTO THURSDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE TOWARD THE AREA FRIDAY 
...THEN MOVE ACROSS THE REGION EARLY SATURDAY PRODUCING WIDESPREAD 
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. WINDY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO ON
TAP FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-082015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-11)  73-78 (+7)   55-60        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-17)  26-31 (-11)  84-89        48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW 14 G26    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.13         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   50 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-082015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-11)  72-77 (+7)   52-57        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  23-28 (-16)  93-98        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 12 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 28        
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-082015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (-14)  70-75 (+5)   53-58        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (-15)  23-28 (-20)  86-91        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 16 G33     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW 14 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.09         
LASI                               5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 31        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-082015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (-14)  74-79 (+5)   55-60        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-11)  27-32 (-16)  91-96        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 13 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.14         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 30        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-082015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (-15)  74-79 (+3)   53-58        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-9)   26-31 (-17)  90-95        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  9 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.12         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 29        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   23 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-082015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      40-45 (-13)  74-79 (+6)   54-59        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-9)   27-32 (-10)  94-99        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 10 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4500                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         23 FAIR                   73 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-082015-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-12)  74-79 (+6)   58-63        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (-7)   30-35 (-11)  95-100       53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW 13 G26    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        LGT/VAR      SW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.23         
LASI                               4                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 33        
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   72 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-082015-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
314 PM EDT WED OCT 7 2009 /214 PM CDT WED OCT 7 2009/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-11)  76-81 (+5)   59-64        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-10)  35-40 (-6)   95-100       56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6         LGT/VAR      SW 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.25         
LASI                               3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 32        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG

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