
045 
FNUS54 KMRX 251848
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION INTO SATURDAY...WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE AS A LOW 
PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES INTO THE AREA. ANOTHER SECONDARY COLD 
FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY...WITH COOLER 
AND DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   70-75 (-8)   54-59        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    69-74 (+5)   95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G15                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  5 G15     S  6         SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         1.40         0.34         0.02         
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (-2)   68-73 (-8)   53-58        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   69-74 (+3)   95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  9 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  6 G18     LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           30           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.63         0.78         0.49         0.02         
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      W 17         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261945-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   68-73 (-9)   55-60        72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   71-76 (+5)   95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.65         0.87         0.23         0.01         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1700                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO 
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO MID 50S. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (-1)   70-75 (-8)   57-62        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+4)   71-76 (+6)   95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.60         0.82         0.13         0.01         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-2)   70-75 (-8)   55-60        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   69-74 (+4)   95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.81         0.21         0.01         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         0 VERY POOR               29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          8                         4            

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   71-76 (-9)   55-60        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+1)   67-72 (+4)   95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.70         0.99         0.30         0.01         
LASI                               2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         1 VERY POOR               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   72-77 (-9)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+3)   71-76 (+8)   95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         1.18         0.12         0.01         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         2 VERY POOR               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
250 PM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009 /150 PM CDT FRI SEP 25 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (-1)   73-78 (-9)   59-64        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+2)   72-77 (+10)  92-97        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   12 PM        
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.94         0.06         0.01         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  8                     W 15         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF SEVERAL INCHES.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 

$$

