
545 
FNUS54 KMRX 251439
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THROUGH SATURDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THROUGH SATURDAY...WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BECOMING 
MORE NUMEROUS TODAY INTO SATURDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY 
APPROACHES THE AREA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE 
REGION ON SATURDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
ON SATURDAY WITH THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. ANOTHER 
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON 
MONDAY...WITH COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NEXT 
WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-261500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   62-67 (-3)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   94-99 (+2)   73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.61         1.38         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  8                     S 20         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               2 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-261500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-2)   61-66 (-3)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+3)   94-99 (+4)   73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G17    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.62         0.76         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  7                     S 17         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-261500-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   63-68 (-2)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   94-99 (+4)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.64         0.85         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 14         
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               1 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S 
TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-261500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   65-70 (-1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   93-98 (+3)   71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.59         0.80         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 14         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   3 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-261500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   63-68 (-2)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   91-96 (+1)   70-75        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.48         0.79         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  6                      S 12         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    1 VERY POOR  
MAX LVORI             6                         7            

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-261500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   64-69 (-2)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (0)    94-99 (+3)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.69         0.97         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  6                      S 15         
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-261500-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   66-71 (-1)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    94-99 (+3)   72-77        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.57         1.16         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-261500-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1040 AM EDT FRI SEP 25 2009 /940 AM CDT FRI SEP 25 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY       
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-1)   67-72 (-1)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (0)    94-99 (+4)   74-79        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           70           100          
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.53         0.39         0.92         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      2000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  6                     S 18         
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...SOME STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL OF AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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