
589 
FNUS54 KMRX 231859
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A STAGNANT WEATHER PATTERN WILL LINGER OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO 
SLOWLY APPROACH THE REGION ON FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE COVERAGE OF 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING INTO SATURDAY. THIS COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON SATURDAY...WITH ANOTHER ONE QUICKLY 
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA ON SUNDAY NIGHT. COOLER AND DRIER WEATHER IS 
THEN EXPECTED FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241945-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   78-83 (-1)   59-64        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-3)   53-58 (-4)   93-98        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.13         0.02         0.22         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  6                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               7 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241945-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+1)   77-82 (-1)   57-62        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      93-98 (-4)   54-59 (-3)   93-98        51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.02         0.34         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      SE  6        
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241945-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-1)   76-81 (-1)   59-64        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   54-59 (-5)   94-99        53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.02         0.33         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         3 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. COOLER. LOWS IN 
THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241945-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+2)   78-83 (-1)   62-67        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   57-62 (0)    94-99        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.11         0.01         0.37         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SE  6        
DISPERSION                         5 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241945-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      60-65 (+2)   77-82 (-1)   60-65        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-3)   57-62 (-1)   94-99        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.10         0.01         0.38         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     S  6         
DISPERSION                         4 VERY POOR               7 POOR       
MAX LVORI                          7                         7            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    80-85 (-1)   59-64        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-4)   52-57 (-4)   92-97        50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.12         0.02         0.28         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                E  6                      E  6         
DISPERSION                         8 POOR                    11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241945-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    80-85 (-1)   63-68        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-3)   57-62 (-1)   94-99        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         12 PM        CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.16         0.02         0.30         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE  6                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 60S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241945-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
300 PM EDT WED SEP 23 2009 /200 PM CDT WED SEP 23 2009/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+3)   81-86 (-1)   65-70        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   58-63 (+2)   94-99        57-62        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   8 AM         
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.15         0.01         0.40         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SE  6        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

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