
204 
FNUS54 KMRX 231433 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND INTO THE AREA...BUT PLENTY OF 
MOISTURE WILL LINGER OVER THE AREA FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.  A COLD 
FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS WEEKEND...
FOLLOWED BY MOSTLY DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.  


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-241515-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+8)   59-64 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-14)  94-99 (-2)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      N  7         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-241515-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+8)   57-62 (+1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-18)  94-99 (-3)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.05         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  3                     N  6         
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-241515-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+5)   59-64 (-1)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (-9)   95-100 (-1)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.02         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     NE  7        
DISPERSION            2 VERY POOR               8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S 
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. 
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-241515-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+4)   62-67 (+2)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-12)  94-99 (-2)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.07         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NE  7        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               12 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-241515-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+5)   60-65 (+2)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-12)  93-98 (-4)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.06         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  3                     NE  5        
DISPERSION            3 VERY POOR               7 POOR       
MAX LVORI             7                         6            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-241515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+6)   60-65 (+1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-12)  93-98 (-3)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      NE  7        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-241515-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+5)   63-68 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-13)  94-99 (-3)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.09         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            6 VERY POOR               26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-241515-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
1030 AM EDT WED SEP 23 2009 /930 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+4)   64-69 (+2)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-13)  95-100 (-2)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.09         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2900                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  3                     NE 10        
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN 
THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 
IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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