
649 
FNUS54 KMRX 150917 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EAST...INTO THE LOWER 
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A 
GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO...AS WELL AS AN 
INCREASE IN THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE 
REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   55-60 (0)    71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-7)   95-100 (+8)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       8 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.36         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      E 12         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-1)   54-59 (0)    70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (-6)   95-100 (+4)  59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.26         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  3                      E  6         
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    9 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-2)   58-63 (-1)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (+4)   90-95 (-1)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.24         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      E  3         
DISPERSION            5 VERY POOR               4 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (-2)   61-66 (-1)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+8)   88-93 (-4)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.07         0.25         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     SE  3        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   5 VERY POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-1)   62-67 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+11)  86-91 (-5)   58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.05         0.24         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     S  6         
DISPERSION            9 POOR                    8 POOR       
MAX LVORI             6                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   56-61 (-1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (-8)   95-100 (+5)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           40           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.06         0.29         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     E  9         
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   23 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161030-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-2)   61-66 (-1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (0)    91-96 (+2)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.12         0.33         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  6                     E  9         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161030-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
517 AM EDT TUE SEP 15 2009 /417 AM CDT TUE SEP 15 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (-1)   63-68 (-2)   75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   89-94 (-2)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.13         0.30         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 12                     E  5         
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

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