
601 
FNUS54 KMRX 201915
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
DEVELOPING THROUGH THE PERIOD. A FEW STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY 
TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WINDS. A COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY SATURDAY...WITH DRIER AND COOLER AIR 
EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    78-83 (-1)   60-65        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-2)   60-65 (-2)   87-92        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  7                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        SW  6        SW  5        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.31         0.04         0.05         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    77-82 (-2)   60-65        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (-1)   60-65 (-2)   87-92        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.31         0.10         0.05         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         6 VERY POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-212000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    76-81 (-2)   60-65        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-2)   59-64 (-5)   87-92        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.31         0.05         0.04         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         7 POOR                    17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN 
THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-212000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    78-83 (-2)   62-67        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-5)   62-67 (-2)   84-89        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.30         0.05         0.04         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     NW 10        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-212000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    78-83 (-2)   62-67        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-6)   63-68 (-2)   84-89        45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  6        LGT/VAR      NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.32         0.06         0.04         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         12 POOR                   27 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          6                         3            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    80-85 (-2)   61-66        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (0)    57-62 (-2)   87-92        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           30           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.31         0.05         0.03         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    80-85 (-1)   62-67        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   57-62 (-6)   86-91        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        SW  5        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.29         0.25         0.04         0.02         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3000                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 16                     W 10         
DISPERSION                         25 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-212000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
315 PM EDT THU AUG 20 2009 /215 PM CDT THU AUG 20 2009/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    81-86 (-2)   63-68        81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-5)   59-64 (-3)   84-89        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  6        SW  5        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.23         0.04         0.02         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 17                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 60. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S 
TO LOWER 90S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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