
885 
FNUS54 KMRX 201417 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
DEVELOPING EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING 
HOURS. A FEW STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL AND DAMAGING WINDS EACH DAY. A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT 
WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA BY EARLY SATURDAY...WITH DRIER AND COOLER 
AIR EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-211500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (0)    64-69 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (-2)   95-100 (-1)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.13         0.30         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 21        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-211500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (0)    63-68 (0)    75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   94-99 (-1)   63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.12         0.30         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-211500-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (0)    63-68 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   94-99 (0)    66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.17         0.30         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            13 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-211500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    65-70 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-1)   94-99 (-2)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.19         0.29         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 13        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-211500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (0)    64-69 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (0)    94-99 (-3)   64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.19         0.31         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 12        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               18 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-211500-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    65-70 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   94-99 (0)    60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.14         0.30         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. WEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-211500-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    66-71 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (-2)   95-100 (-1)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  7 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.42         0.29         0.24         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 18                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-211500-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
1015 AM EDT THU AUG 20 2009 /915 AM CDT THU AUG 20 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (0)    68-73 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      58-63 (-3)   92-97 (-3)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  5        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           50           80           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            4            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.32         0.22         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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