
140 
FNUS54 KMRX 191916
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A TROPICAL AIR MASS WILL REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
THROUGH FRIDAY...WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING 
EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. A FEW 
STORMS WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL 
AND DAMAGING WINDS EACH DAY. A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
THROUGH THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH DRIER AND COOLER AIR EXPECTED 
FOR THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-202015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    79-84 (0)    64-69        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  59-64 (-3)   95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  6 G15                  SW  8 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    SW  6        SW  9 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.37         0.09         0.17         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 21        
DISPERSION                         19 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-202015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (0)    78-83 (0)    62-67        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  59-64 (-2)   95-100       61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  6                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.45         0.06         0.19         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 12                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    9 POOR       

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-202015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (0)    77-82 (0)    64-69        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (+4)   59-64 (-2)   93-98        61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         S  9 G18     S  6         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.44         0.08         0.21         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 14        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   9 POOR       

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
60S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-202015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    81-86 (0)    65-70        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+6)  58-63 (-1)   95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G17                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  9 G17     S  6         S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.43         0.08         0.21         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 13        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 
MID 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S 
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-202015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (0)    80-85 (0)    63-68        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  57-62 (-2)   95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.43         0.07         0.24         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          5                         5            

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. LIGHT WINDS. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-202015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    81-86 (0)    66-71        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+3)  59-64 (-2)   95-100       59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  5                      SW  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  7        LGT/VAR      SW  8 G16    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.42         0.08         0.18         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 13                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         24 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-202015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    81-86 (0)    68-73        80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      94-99 (+2)   60-65 (-3)   94-99        60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  SW  8 G15    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  9 G17    S  6         SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.37         0.13         0.17         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     SW 17        
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. 
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-202015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
315 PM EDT WED AUG 19 2009 /215 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2009/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    83-88 (0)    67-72        82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+4)  59-64 (-2)   95-100       60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8                      SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW  8 G15    S  6         SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           70           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.38         0.12         0.13         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 15                     SW 15        
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S
TO LOWER 90S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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