
043 
FNUS54 KMRX 171357
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION THIS 
AFTERNOON...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SOME OF 
THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE...CREATING DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE 
HAIL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING. UNSEASONABLY COOL AND DRY AIR WILL THEN MOVE INTO THE 
REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-181445-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-4)   54-59 (-9)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   86-91 (-10)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  8 G18     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    W  7 G15     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.09         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 18         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   63 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-181445-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-5)   54-59 (-9)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   87-92 (-8)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  9 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     W  9 G19     W 10 G20     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.12         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 20         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-181445-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   53-58 (-9)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   87-92 (-8)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     NW  8 G20    NW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.08         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. 
LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-181445-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-3)   55-60 (-11)  77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-7)   86-91 (-8)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G18     NW  7 G17    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.05         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-181445-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   54-59 (-11)  76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-9)   86-91 (-11)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G17     NW  7 G15    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.06         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 17        
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   56 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-181445-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-4)   55-60 (-11)  76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   87-92 (-7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  7 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  7 G15     W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.09         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 17         
DISPERSION            44 GEN GOOD               66 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-181445-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-3)   55-60 (-12)  76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-6)   87-92 (-5)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G17     NW  7 G16    NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.03         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               63 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-181445-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
1000 AM EDT FRI JUL 17 2009 /900 AM CDT FRI JUL 17 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   57-62 (-9)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-6)   87-92 (-6)   34-39        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G17                 NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10         NW  8 G20    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.15         0.01         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      NW 15        
DISPERSION            53 GEN GOOD               65 GOOD      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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