
776 
FNUS54 KMRX 161906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
THROUGH FRIDAY. SOME STORMS COULD CREATE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND 
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THIS COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
THROUGH THE AREA BY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL AND DRY 
AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION FOR THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   79-84 (-3)   56-61        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   54-59 (-5)   95-100       41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  6 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7 G15     W  6         W  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.20         0.15         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 16         
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-2)   78-83 (-3)   56-61        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-6)   55-60 (-5)   95-100       42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   W  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  9 G17     W  7 G18     W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.20         0.22         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 15         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-1)   77-82 (-3)   56-61        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (-2)   57-62 (-3)   94-99        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G18     NW  6 G15    W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.33         0.15         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   30 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. 
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO UPPER 50S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    79-84 (-3)   58-63        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-3)   57-62 (-2)   94-99        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     NW  5 G15    NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.38         0.13         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 18                      NW 12        
DISPERSION                         48 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    78-83 (-3)   57-62        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-4)   55-60 (-6)   92-97        43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W 10 G17     NW  5        NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.34         0.16         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         47 GEN GOOD               42 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI                          4                         4            

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-2)   81-86 (-3)   58-63        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-7)   54-59 (-3)   95-100       40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  7         W  5         W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.25         0.15         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 14                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         42 GEN GOOD               52 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (-1)   80-85 (-3)   58-63        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-8)   56-61 (-2)   94-99        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  8 G17     NW  5        W  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           30           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.38         0.08         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 16                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
305 PM EDT THU JUL 16 2009 /205 PM CDT THU JUL 16 2009/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    81-86 (-3)   60-65        79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (-1)   57-62 (0)    94-99        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         W 10 G19     NW  8 G18    W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           40           0            
PRECIP DURATION       3            3            1                         
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.45         0.09         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 20                      NW 13        
DISPERSION                         67 GOOD                   55 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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