
258 
FNUS54 KMRX 161347
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY. 
SOME STORMS COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON 
FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION FOR 
THE WEEKEND. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171415-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   64-69 (-2)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+3)   86-91 (-8)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.03         0.16         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 
MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S 
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171415-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   64-69 (-2)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (+4)   87-92 (-6)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.05         0.20         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      W 14         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171415-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   64-69 (-1)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    87-92 (-3)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      W  5         W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.07         0.24         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 14         
DISPERSION            16 GEN POOR               10 POOR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS 
IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171415-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   66-71 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    87-92 (-3)   55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.37         0.08         0.28         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO 
LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171415-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   65-70 (0)    79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+2)   87-92 (-7)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.38         0.10         0.26         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 12                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            23 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171415-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   66-71 (-2)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+4)   86-91 (-8)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.04         0.20         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            33 FAIR                   24 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171415-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (+1)   66-71 (-1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-1)   87-92 (-8)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.04         0.23         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO 
MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171415-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
945 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009 /845 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      86-91 (+1)   68-73 (0)    83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    87-92 (-1)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.06         0.33         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      W 15         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. 
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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