
706 
FNUS54 KMRX 160617
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY. 
SOME STORMS COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND 
LIGHTNING. THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ON 
FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH UNSEASONABLY COOL AIR MOVING INTO THE REGION FOR 
THE WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-170730-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   63-68 (-1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+4)   87-92 (-4)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           60           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.19         0.21         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-170730-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-3)   62-67 (-2)   79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+7)   90-95 (-3)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.34         0.14         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   17 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-170730-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-2)   62-67 (-2)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   93-98 (-1)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.59         0.14         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 17        
DISPERSION            22 FAIR                   26 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO
MID 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-170730-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (-2)   66-71 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+4)   86-91 (-6)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.65         0.15         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 20        
DISPERSION            29 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-170730-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   65-70 (0)    79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+7)   87-92 (-7)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  8         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.66         0.17         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     W 18         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-170730-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   65-70 (-1)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (+6)   89-94 (-2)   51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.27         0.32         0.11         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      SW 16        
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-170730-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-2)   66-71 (0)    81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+5)   88-93 (-5)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.28         0.43         0.10         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 17         
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-170730-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
217 AM EDT THU JUL 16 2009 /117 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (-2)   66-71 (-4)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+2)   91-96 (+6)   52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5                      W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           70           50           
PRECIP DURATION       2            3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.61         0.12         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      W 21         
DISPERSION            38 FAIR                   69 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$








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