
890 
FNUS54 KMRX 151431 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT OVER THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY WILL SLOWLY MOVE TOWARDS THE 
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT...WITH A FEW ORGANIZED 
SYSTEMS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY AND THURSDAY. 
THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT OVER THE TENNESSEE 
RIVER VALLEY BY FRIDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS 
DEVELOPING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 
FRIDAY COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL... 
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161500-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (0)    63-68 (+7)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+13)  92-97 (0)    55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.36         0.17         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     W 14         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. 
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN 
THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161500-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (+1)   61-66 (+4)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+9)   92-97 (+4)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     W  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.14         0.21         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6200                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      W 14         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   22 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161500-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      80-85 (+2)   62-67 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  91-96 (+5)   59-64        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.12         0.27         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     W 10         
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161500-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (-1)   64-69 (-1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+16)  93-98 (+3)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.08         0.33         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   20 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO 
MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161500-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   63-68 (+3)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+19)  95-100 (+2)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          4 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.37         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             4                         5            

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 
80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161500-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (0)    63-68 (+2)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+13)  95-100 (+6)  56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.24         0.18         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     W 13         
DISPERSION            54 GEN GOOD               34 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. 
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161500-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (-1)   67-72 (+3)   81-86        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+14)  88-93 (0)    58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.23         0.20         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     W 10         
DISPERSION            61 GOOD                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS 
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO 
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 
TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161500-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
1030 AM EDT WED JUL 15 2009 /930 AM CDT WED JUL 15 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      85-90 (-1)   68-73 (+3)   82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+14)  89-94 (+2)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.11         0.32         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    6000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NW  9        
DISPERSION            48 GEN GOOD               27 FAIR      

REMARKS...SOME THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND THURSDAY MAY PRODUCE LOCALLY 
HEAVY RAINFALL UP TO AN INCH OR TWO.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS 
IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 
LOWS IN THE 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. NORTH 
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 
70S TO MID 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. 
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$





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