
238 
FNUS54 KMRX 091431 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATE TO INCREASE LIKELIHOOD OF CONVECTION ACROSS NE TN/SW VA.

A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL PROVIDE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.  THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR STORMS WILL BE ACROSS 
THE EASTERN TENNESSEE MOUNTAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN NORTH 
CAROLINA.  A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FOR 
FRIDAY...PRODUCING MOSTLY DRY...HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-101545-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (-2)   58-63 (0)    80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+6)   87-92 (-7)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                                  
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     S  7         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-101545-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (-1)   57-62 (0)    79-84        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+7)   85-90 (-8)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  5        LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.02         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  8                     S  8         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER
80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-101545-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      79-84 (+2)   57-62 (-1)   80-85        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+1)   84-89 (-11)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.01         0.01         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  7                      SE  7        
DISPERSION            27 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-101545-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      82-87 (+1)   60-65 (-1)   83-88        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   83-88 (-9)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.01         0.01         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7500                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  8                      SE  8        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   42 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-101545-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    60-65 (0)    82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   83-88 (-11)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     E  5         LGT/VAR      S  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   12 AM        8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.01         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7400                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      SE  9        
DISPERSION            41 GEN GOOD               46 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. EAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-101545-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      81-86 (-2)   60-65 (0)    82-87        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   84-89 (-8)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                                  
PRECIP END            CONTINUING                             
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE  7                     SE  7        
DISPERSION            37 FAIR                   39 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO UPPER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-101545-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      83-88 (+1)   61-66 (0)    84-89        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   84-89 (-6)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                                  
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7700                      7800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  7                     SE  7        
DISPERSION            40 FAIR                   40 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER
90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-101545-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
1031 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2009 /931 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      84-89 (+1)   62-67 (-1)   85-90        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   83-88 (-3)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    7600                      7900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  9                      SE  8        
DISPERSION            50 GEN GOOD               47 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$








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