
167 
FNUS54 KMRX 161849
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY AND 
PREVAIL THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WORK WEEK. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-9)   56-61 (-21)  36-41        63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-5)   40-45 (-16)  82-87        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      E  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NE  6        E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3900                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      E  9         
DISPERSION                         28 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   56-61 (-18)  33-38        61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (-6)   39-44 (-18)  90-95        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  7                     E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NE  5        SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 14                      E  9         
DISPERSION                         15 GEN POOR               25 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-172000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (-5)   55-60 (-17)  35-40        62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (-1)   41-46 (-20)  87-92        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        NE  7 G16    E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 14                     E  7         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-172000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   59-64 (-17)  37-42        66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      90-95 (+1)   41-46 (-15)  89-94        21-26        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  8 G16     NE  6 G18    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.02         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     E  6         
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 80S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-172000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-3)   60-65 (-16)  36-41        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+10) 44-49 (-10)  92-97        19-24        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   E  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NE  5        SE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.41         0.03         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3300                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 12                      E  8         
DISPERSION                         11 POOR                   19 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI                          6                         4            

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER
80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (-5)   60-65 (-18)  35-40        65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-7)   36-41 (-17)  93-98        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      E  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         NE  5        E  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           30           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       7            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 15                     E  9         
DISPERSION                         29 FAIR                   35 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 80S.
LIGHT WINDS. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-8)   60-65 (-16)  39-44        67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      92-97 (0)    31-36 (-29)  83-88        22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NE  8 G16                 NE  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      NE  6        NE  6 G15    NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.46         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3500                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     E 12         
DISPERSION                         35 FAIR                   38 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS NEAR 40. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-172000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
249 PM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009 /149 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009/

                      TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-8)   62-67 (-14)  39-44        68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (-4)   34-39 (-27)  85-90        20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N 11 G22                  NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N 10 G19     NE  8 G17    E  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           20           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       5            1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         CONTINUING                             
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   11 AM                                  
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.49         0.01         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 23                     E  9         
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   25 FAIR      

REMARKS...A QUICK INCH OR MORE OF RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH 
ANY THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S TO MID 80S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS NEAR 80.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$










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