
308 
FNUS54 KMRX 161103
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS 
TONIGHT. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION PRIOR TO THE 
FRONTAL PASSAGE. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-171215-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-4)   51-56 (-7)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-2)   92-97 (-4)   47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     N  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.42         0.03         
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     N 17         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-171215-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-5)   49-54 (-7)   57-62        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+5)   95-100 (+1)  51-56        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.34         0.37         0.07         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  9                     N 14         
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-171215-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-8)   48-53 (-8)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+14)  95-100 (+6)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE 10        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.45         0.43         0.06         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     NE 14        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-171215-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-8)   51-56 (-7)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+20)  95-100 (+9)  54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N 11 G18     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.55         0.45         0.05         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 12                     NE 16        
DISPERSION            15 GEN POOR               24 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-171215-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (-10)  52-57 (-6)   59-64        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (+26)  95-100 (+10) 55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.58         0.43         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3500                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     N 13         
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   17 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-171215-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   52-57 (-7)   60-65        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+4)   95-100 (+5)  50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      NE  9        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.36         0.42         0.04         
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NE 16        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-171215-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-5)   51-56 (-9)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   95-100 (+5)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     NE  9 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      NE 10 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.44         0.41         0.02         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     NE 20        
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-171215-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
703 AM EDT SAT MAY 16 2009 /603 AM CDT SAT MAY 16 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (-8)   51-56 (-10)  62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+12)  95-100 (+7)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NE 10 G17    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NE 11 G19    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.56         0.44         0.03         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 10                      NE 21        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S
TO MID 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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