
024 
FNUS54 KMRX 150633
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT STALLED OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION WILL
RESULT IN A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS 
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160745-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (0)    59-64 (0)    74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-5)   88-93 (-5)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.09         0.12         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               41 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160745-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   56-61 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   94-99 (0)    54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.14         0.12         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160745-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   56-61 (+1)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   95-100 (+3)  55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.13         0.15         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  3                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            7 POOR                    22 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO
UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160745-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   57-62 (-1)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-4)   95-100 (+4)  53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.11         0.18         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            11 POOR                   34 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160745-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+2)   56-61 (-3)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (-2)   95-100 (+3)  52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.21         0.19         0.18         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  5                      SW 13        
DISPERSION            12 POOR                   28 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             4                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160745-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   59-64 (0)    76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (-3)   91-96 (-2)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   S  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.20         0.11         0.13         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5200                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            17 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160745-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      77-82 (+1)   61-66 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (-3)   89-94 (-7)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.17         0.08         0.19         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  6                     SW 17        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   53 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO
LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160745-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
233 AM EDT FRI MAY 15 2009 /133 AM CDT FRI MAY 15 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      78-83 (+2)   61-66 (0)    78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-7)   92-97 (0)    52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.16         0.07         0.20         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  6                      SW 15        
DISPERSION            20 GEN POOR               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 50. NORTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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