
954 
FNUS54 KMRX 150009 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL OVER THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
RESULTING IN A CHANCE OF MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS 
FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-160115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+2)   76-81 (0)    58-63        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+17) 51-56 (-5)   92-97        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.15         0.02         0.10         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  6                     W 14         
DISPERSION                         16 GEN POOR               32 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-160115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (+2)   74-79 (+1)   55-60        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+13) 51-56 (-4)   95-100       52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5        W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.17         0.02         0.10         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5200                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      W 10         
DISPERSION                         13 GEN POOR               16 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-160115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-2)   72-77 (+1)   55-60        70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 53-58 (-5)   91-96        55-60        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.11         0.13         0.02         0.10         
LASI                               3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  6                      SW  8        
DISPERSION                         9 POOR                    10 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-160115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (-4)   76-81 (+1)   56-61        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 50-55 (-4)   91-96        56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.13         0.12         0.03         0.13         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  3                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-160115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-7)   77-82 (+2)   55-60        73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+8)  49-54 (-2)   91-96        58-63        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           40           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.14         0.07         0.19         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW  7        
DISPERSION                         10 POOR                   10 POOR      
MAX LVORI                          6                         5            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST LESS THAN 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. EAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-160115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (+3)   78-83 (+1)   58-63        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+16) 50-55 (-3)   95-100       48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           40           60           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.15         0.02         0.09         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      W 14         
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               35 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-160115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      58-63 (+2)   77-82 (+1)   60-65        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+19) 53-58 (-3)   90-95        52-57        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.12         0.02         0.14         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  7                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         20 GEN POOR               31 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-160115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
809 PM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 /709 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2009/

                      TONIGHT      FRI          FRI NIGHT    SAT          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+2)   78-83 (+2)   60-65        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+15) 51-56 (-7)   93-98        49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           30           30           70           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            12 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.11         0.02         0.13         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4800                      3700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  5                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               21 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$








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