
123 
FNUS54 KMRX 140729
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION 
TODAY BUT WILL NOT MAKE SIGNIFICANT PROGRESS BEYOND THE OHIO 
VALLEY BEFORE RETREATING BACK TO THE NORTH. ATMOSPHERIC STABILITY 
WILL BE SLIGHTLY LOWER TODAY AND A SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL MOISTEN THE 
LOW LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE SUFFICIENTLY FOR A SMALL POSSIBILITY 
OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...MAINLY 
ACROSS THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-150830-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (-1)   57-62 (+3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+11)  92-97 (+9)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6 G15    LGT/VAR      SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.26         0.18         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5800                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     S  6         
DISPERSION            67 GOOD                   18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-150830-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+1)   54-59 (+4)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+13)  93-98 (+7)   49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.19         0.19         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5700                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S  6         
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-150830-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+2)   53-58 (+3)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+11)  90-95 (+7)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.20         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     S  3         
DISPERSION            26 FAIR                   8 POOR       

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-150830-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+5)   56-61 (+4)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   88-93 (+4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.19         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      S  3         
DISPERSION            34 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-150830-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+6)   55-60 (+5)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+6)   86-91 (0)    44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.04         0.18         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SE  5        
DISPERSION            24 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR  
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-150830-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      74-79 (+1)   57-62 (+4)   76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  93-98 (+8)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.13         0.20         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 16                     SE  3        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS
BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-150830-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      75-80 (+1)   58-63 (+2)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+12)  89-94 (+5)   50-55        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6                     LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.08         0.23         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     S  5         
DISPERSION            72 GOOD                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-150830-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
329 AM EDT THU MAY 14 2009 /229 AM CDT THU MAY 14 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      76-81 (+4)   59-64 (+3)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (+7)   93-98 (+6)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.02         0.22         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     S  5         
DISPERSION            59 GEN GOOD               18 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 60.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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