
321 
FNUS54 KMRX 131428 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT STEADILY EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TODAY...WHILE A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE 
BUILDS ACROSS THE MID SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM...AND AN INCREASING 
SOUTHERLY FLOW AROUND THE DEPARTING RIDGE MAY LEAD TO THE 
DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES. A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH 
THE REGION ON THURSDAY...PROVIDING OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR SCATTERED 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-141530-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (+4)   52-57 (+6)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+3)   90-95 (+12)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6                     S  8 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G17     S  6         SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     10           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.15         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            60 GEN GOOD               62 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-141530-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+4)   50-55 (+7)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (+1)   90-95 (+7)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  9 G17                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  9 G17    SE  7        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LASI                  4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      S 14         
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               36 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-141530-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+3)   51-56 (+6)   74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      37-42 (+1)   91-96 (+15)  45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G16                  S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9         S  7         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     9 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.04         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      S 12         
DISPERSION            30 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-141530-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      71-76 (0)    54-59 (+6)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   90-95 (+15)  47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8         SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      9 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.03         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      S 14         
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-141530-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      70-75 (-1)   53-58 (+6)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   93-98 (+17)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G15                  S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7         SE  6        LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     9 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 21                     S 13         
DISPERSION            49 GEN GOOD               40 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS NEAR 80. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-141530-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+4)   53-58 (+6)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (0)    95-100 (+14) 43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5                     S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     SE  5        SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    8 AM         
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SW 14        
DISPERSION            56 GEN GOOD               51 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-141530-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      73-78 (+3)   56-61 (+7)   78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      42-47 (+7)   91-96 (+10)  48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  6 G15                 S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            50           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.13         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SW 18        
DISPERSION            69 GOOD                   71 GOOD      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-141530-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
1028 AM EDT WED MAY 13 2009 /928 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      72-77 (+1)   57-62 (+6)   77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+10)  93-98 (+12)  49-54        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G16                  S  7         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     S  5         LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END            8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 25                      S 15         
DISPERSION            82 GOOD                   54 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$








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