
525 
FNUS54 KMRX 121905
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY 
SHIFTS EAST OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION.  THIS WILL CREATE  
SOUTHERLY FLOW AND BRING IN WARMER TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT WILL 
APPROACH THE REGION ON THURSDAY...PROVIDING OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR 
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-132015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+3)   72-77 (+5)   54-59        76-81        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   36-41 (+3)   86-91        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G18                  S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     SE  9 G18    SW  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.03         0.01         0.12         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5700                      5300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 16        
DISPERSION                         63 GOOD                   45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-132015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+3)   71-76 (+6)   51-56        75-80        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+11)  36-41 (+1)   86-91        39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G19                  S  8 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 12 G21     S  9 G19     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            10           0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 PM                      8 AM         
PRECIP END                         8 PM                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         0.04         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      6000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         49 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-132015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      45-50 (+4)   71-76 (+5)   51-56        74-79        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+9)   38-43 (+2)   84-89        42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  9 G18                  SW  8 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 11 G19     S  9 G19     SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 17                      SW 10        
DISPERSION                         37 FAIR                   27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-132015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+4)   74-79 (+3)   53-58        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      85-90 (+6)   37-42 (+2)   90-95        44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G17                 S  9 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     S  9 G19     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.05         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      S 13         
DISPERSION                         57 GEN GOOD               38 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S
TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-132015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   73-78 (+2)   52-57        77-82        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+8)   35-40 (+1)   92-97        46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  8 G17                 S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE 10 G19    SE  8 G15    LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            40           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      5600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SE 20                     S 10         
DISPERSION                         53 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      
MAX LVORI                          3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-132015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+3)   74-79 (+6)   53-58        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      87-92 (+8)   37-42 (+1)   92-97        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  SE  7 G17                 S  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     E  7         SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.09         
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 18                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         62 GOOD                   44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-132015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+4)   75-80 (+5)   56-61        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   39-44 (+4)   91-96        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  7 G17                  S  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     SE  8 G16    SW  7 G15    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.17         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 20                      SW 17        
DISPERSION                         72 GOOD                   49 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-132015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
305 PM EDT TUE MAY 12 2009 /205 PM CDT TUE MAY 12 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (+5)   76-81 (+5)   57-62        78-83        
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   39-44 (+3)   92-97        47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S  8 G17                  S  8 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S 10 G18     S  9 G20     SW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                              1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 8 AM         
PRECIP END                                                   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.11         
LASI                               4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 21                      S 15         
DISPERSION                         76 GOOD                   46 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$








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