
701 
FNUS54 KMRX 040832
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHEAST AWAY FROM 
THE APPALACHIANS TODAY TAKING THE MORE CONCENTRATED SHOWERS AND 
THUNDERSTORMS NORTHEAST INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THE ATMOSPHERE 
WILL DRY OUT TONIGHT AND TUESDAY BUT THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE BACK 
NORTH BRINGING RENEWED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THE REGION 
WEDNESDAY.  

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-050930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (+1)   49-54 (-7)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-19)  86-91 (-3)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.02         0.01         
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      S  9         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-050930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+1)   49-54 (-5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-18)  85-90 (-6)   43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  8 G19                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           30           20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.14         0.04         0.02         
LASI                  2                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      S  8         
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   11 POOR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-050930-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+2)   47-52 (-5)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-26)  85-90 (-8)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.03         0.02         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  9                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    14 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S
TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-050930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+2)   50-55 (-6)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      52-57 (-24)  87-92 (-7)   39-44        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           10           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.01         0.02         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  5                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    27 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-050930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   50-55 (-6)   72-77        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-25)  85-90 (-11)  38-43        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           20           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.04         0.03         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     SW 14        
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   22 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-050930-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    49-54 (-8)   70-75        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (-17)  92-97 (+3)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           10           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   2 AM         8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.03         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      S  9         
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY AND CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-050930-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+2)   50-55 (-6)   71-76        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (-22)  88-93 (-2)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4700         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  8                      SW 12        
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   33 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-050930-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
432 AM EDT MON MAY 4 2009 /332 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+2)   54-59 (-3)   73-78        
RH % (24H TREND)      51-56 (-24)  84-89 (-5)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                                   
PRECIP END            8 PM                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      4600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NE  6                     SW 15        
DISPERSION            14 GEN POOR               44 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD






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