
564 
FNUS54 KMRX 030856
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE REGION THIS 
MORNING AND WILL CAUSE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND 
TONIGHT DECREASING MONDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE 
APPALACHIANS. SOME STORMS COULD ALSO BECOME SEVERE TODAY AND TONIGHT 
BRINGING THE POSSIBILITY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. 
IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY WITH ONLY A FEW 
SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-041000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      64-69 (-1)   53-58 (-2)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   89-94 (-5)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  6        LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.95         0.16         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 17         
DISPERSION            36 FAIR                   37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-041000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (-1)   52-57 (-1)   62-67        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (0)    92-97 (-1)   61-66        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         LGT/VAR      W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.75         0.22         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W 18         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               28 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S
TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-041000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+3)   52-57 (-1)   63-68        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-10)  95-100 (-2)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  6 G15                 SW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  5         W  7 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.66         0.70         0.17         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 14         
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO UPPER
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-041000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+4)   55-60 (-1)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      66-71 (-9)   95-100 (-1)  63-68        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G15    LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.59         0.63         0.21         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3900                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W 14         
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-041000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   55-60 (-1)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      63-68 (-9)   95-100 (-1)  62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW  5                     SW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8        LGT/VAR      W  5         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           100          60           
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            3            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.50         0.56         0.25         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 25                     W 17         
DISPERSION            32 FAIR                   32 FAIR      
MAX LVORI             5                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. LIGHT WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER TO MID
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-041000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+1)   56-61 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      67-72 (0)    89-94 (-6)   62-67        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SW  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7 G15    SW  5        W  6         
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          70           
PRECIP DURATION       8            7            2            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.75         0.89         0.16         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 24                     W 18         
DISPERSION            58 GEN GOOD               45 GEN GOOD  

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING
TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-041000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   56-61 (0)    66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      69-74 (-5)   88-93 (-9)   60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        NW  5        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       8            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.90         0.88         0.11         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 20                     NW 14        
DISPERSION            46 GEN GOOD               37 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-041000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
456 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2009 /356 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      69-74 (+2)   57-62 (-1)   68-73        
RH % (24H TREND)      65-70 (-7)   89-94 (-8)   56-61        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  7        SW  6        NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          50           
PRECIP DURATION       5            7            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.77         0.73         0.15         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 10        
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   29 FAIR      

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD






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