
462 
FNUS54 KMRX 021516 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST 
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

...BREEZY WINDS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE 
HIGHER ELEVATIONS...

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION BY THIS EVENING INTO EARLY 
FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AN OUTBREAK 
OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF 
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. HIGH PRESSURE 
WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO 
SATURDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE REGION BY
SUNDAY NIGHT...PRODUCING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND WEAKER 
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SIGNIFICANTLY BEHIND THIS 
SYSTEM ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031445-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   47-52 (+6)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+5)   90-95 (-6)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G20                 SW 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G25    SE 15 G29    W 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.40         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 31         
DISPERSION            57                        40           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 
MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031445-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   46-51 (+1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (0)    90-95 (-7)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 W 16 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G31    SE 19 G37    W 17 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.37         0.04         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 28                     W 30         
DISPERSION            53                        23           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S. WEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH 
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO 
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031445-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   45-50 (-4)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+7)   86-91 (-3)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G19                 W 15 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 17 G32    SE 16 G37    W 12 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.32         0.03         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 28         
DISPERSION            38                        18           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO 
UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. 
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031445-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   47-52 (-4)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      54-59 (+18)  86-91 (-5)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G26    S 14 G29     W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.39         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 23         
DISPERSION            53                        30           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST 
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031445-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    47-52 (-3)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+13)  86-91 (-11)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G18                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G23    SE 14 G28    W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.38         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 22                     W 26         
DISPERSION            48                        29           
MAX LVORI             4                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP 
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S 
TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR 60. 
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031445-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   48-53 (+3)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      44-49 (+3)   87-92 (-8)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G20                 W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 15 G27    SE 13 G29    W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.29         0.03         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     W 29         
DISPERSION            64                        51           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. 
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031445-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   48-53 (+4)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+17)  93-98 (+2)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G24    SE  8 G19    W 10 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.29         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 26         
DISPERSION            56                        51           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS 
LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE 
LOWER TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031445-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009 /1015 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    48-53 (+1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+28)  90-95 (-4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G15                 W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G21    SE 10 G23    W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.10         0.51         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 25         
DISPERSION            64                        52           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST 
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. 
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO 
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 
TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 
TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 
UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN 
THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$





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