
352 
FNUS54 KMRX 020846
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

.DISCUSSION...
...STRONG WINDS TONIGHT IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS...

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL MOVE 
INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION BY THIS EVENING INTO EARLY 
FRIDAY MORNING...WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING THIS EVENING TO STRONG 
LEVELS. 

THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE AN OUTBREAK 
OF SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS THE REGION...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF 
DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. 

HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO 
SATURDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT WILL AFFECT THE REGION BY
SUNDAY NIGHT...PRODUCING ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND WEAKER 
THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SIGNIFICANTLY BEHIND THIS 
SYSTEM ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY...WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-031000-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+5)   47-52 (+5)   53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      43-48 (+2)   90-95 (-3)   53-58        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G20                 SW 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G25    SE 14 G28    W 14 G25     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.39         0.07         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 24                      W 31         
DISPERSION            50                        40           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-031000-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+6)   47-52 (+1)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (-3)   90-95 (-5)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G22                 W 16 G28     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G30    SE 18 G37    W 17 G27     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            6            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.37         0.04         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 28                     W 30         
DISPERSION            42                        23           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S
TO UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-031000-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (+4)   46-51 (-3)   52-57        
RH % (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   86-91 (-4)   44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G19                 W 15 G31     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 16 G32    SE 15 G37    W 12 G24     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.32         0.03         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5100                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 28         
DISPERSION            30                        18           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-031000-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+1)   50-55 (-6)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+19)  79-84 (-15)  42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  8 G18                 W 10 G20     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 13 G26    S 13 G28     W  8 G16     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.38         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 23                      W 23         
DISPERSION            47                        30           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-031000-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      65-70 (0)    51-56 (-4)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+14)  75-80 (-22)  41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G18                 W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 12 G23    SE 13 G27    W 10 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       2            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.38         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3600         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 22                     W 26         
DISPERSION            42                        29           
MAX LVORI             3                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS NEAR
60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-031000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        CLOUDY       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+4)   48-53 (+2)   55-60        
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+6)   87-92 (-4)   54-59        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  7 G20                 W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 14 G27    SE 12 G28    W 15 G26     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           90           30           
PRECIP DURATION       1            8            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   8 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.29         0.03         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SE 23                     W 29         
DISPERSION            60                        51           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S TO MID 70S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 40S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN
THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-031000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (+3)   47-52 (+1)   56-61        
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+16)  82-87 (0)    46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 11 G23     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 11 G24    SE  7 G17    W 10 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            5            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.29         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4600                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      W 26         
DISPERSION            54                        51           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO MID 70S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-031000-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
446 AM EDT THU APR 2 2009 /346 AM CDT THU APR 2 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (0)    47-52 (-1)   58-63        
RH % (24H TREND)      55-60 (+26)  80-85 (-10)  44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE  5 G15                 W  9 G17     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G20    SE  8 G21    W  9 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           100          20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            4            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   2 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.50         0.01         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      W 25         
DISPERSION            62                        52           

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 40. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO
LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$








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