
943 
FNUS54 KMRX 010901
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS THIS 
MORNING ...BRINGING AN END TO SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT ARE EXPECTED TO 
AFFECT THE REGION...THURSDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. THIS 
SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS 
MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES.  STRONG SOUTH WINDS CAN BE
EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND 
AT THE BASE OF THE MOUNTAINS.  GUSTY WEST WINDS ON FRIDAY
WILL FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE.  RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES 
SHOULD STAY MODERATE TO HIGH DURING THIS PERIOD.


HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD EAST ACROSS THE REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO 
SUNDAY...BRINGING DRY WEATHER AND SEASONAL TEMPERATURES. 
   


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-021015-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-2)   42-47 (-7)   64-69        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (+1)   75-80 (-11)  36-41        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7                      SE  8 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SE 12 G23    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      11 AM        
PRECIP END            11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.02         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 20                      SE 17        
DISPERSION            43                        26           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. WARMER. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-021015-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (+1)   39-44 (-10)  61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      39-44 (+2)   86-91 (-5)   48-53        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  7 G15                  SE 10 G23    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  6        LGT/VAR      SE 12 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.01         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 18                      SE 18        
DISPERSION            34                        18           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO UPPER 60S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-021015-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      61-66 (+5)   42-47 (-6)   61-66        
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (-9)   82-87 (-9)   46-51        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  5 G15                  SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 14                      S 20         
DISPERSION            18                        17           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 70S.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-021015-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+7)   43-48 (-8)   65-70        
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-12)  90-95 (+4)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  6                     SE  7 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            50           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.06         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 10                     S 23         
DISPERSION            18                        35           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-021015-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      67-72 (+8)   43-48 (-9)   66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-13)  92-97 (+7)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW  5                     SE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       2 AM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.07         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 13                      SE 22        
DISPERSION            22                        31           
MAX LVORI             3                         4            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-021015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      62-67 (+1)   39-44 (-11)  66-71        
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (-4)   91-96 (+4)   42-47        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     W  6                      SE  8 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G22    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            30           
PRECIP DURATION       1                         1            
PRECIP BEGIN          8 AM                      2 PM         
PRECIP END            11 AM                     CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.01         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SE 17        
DISPERSION            39                        35           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 70S.
EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-021015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      63-68 (+4)   42-47 (-6)   67-72        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-12)  85-90 (-2)   40-45        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  8 G17    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            30           
PRECIP DURATION                                 1            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.04         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 12                      S 18         
DISPERSION            28                        40           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. EAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-021015-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
501 AM EDT WED APR 1 2009 /401 AM CDT WED APR 1 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      THU          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      66-71 (+8)   44-49 (-5)   69-74        
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (-21)  87-92 (+5)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     N  5 G17                  SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE 10 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS        
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            60           
PRECIP DURATION                                 2            
PRECIP BEGIN                                    11 AM        
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.08         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  9                     S 24         
DISPERSION            21                        54           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 40. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS
UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO MID
60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

GM





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