
170 
FNUS54 KMRX 271005
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TODAY...  
BRINGING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. WINDY 
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...AND 
THEIR IMMEDIATE FOOTHILLS TODAY.  A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN 
DEVELOP ACROSS THE DEEP SOUTH LATE TONIGHT...AND WILL MOVE NORTHEAST 
ACROSS THE CAROLINAS ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING 
NUMEROUS SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION INTO THE WEEKEND.  COLDER AIR 
WILL FILTER IN ON SATURDAY NIGHT CAUSING THE RAIN SHOWERS TO CHANGE 
OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS ON SATURDAY NIGHT.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281115-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-6)   38-43 (-6)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      57-62 (+10)  95-100 (+9)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 13 G26                 NE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G22    LGT/VAR      NE  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.35         0.08         0.80         
LASI                  3                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 36                     E 20         
DISPERSION            29                        6            

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 22. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281115-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (-4)   40-45 (-4)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      60-65 (+12)  89-94 (+3)   66-71        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G28                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.18         0.95         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     SE 21        
DISPERSION            16                        2            

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S
TO LOWER 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-281115-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      53-58 (-4)   41-46 (-4)   43-48        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+10)  92-97 (+10)  71-76        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 19 G38                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G26     LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.62         0.39         0.59         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      2400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 32                     SE 20        
DISPERSION            16                        3            

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 13 TO 26. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-281115-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-3)   46-51 (0)    47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+6)   88-93 (+3)   68-73        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 16 G31                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G21     LGT/VAR      N  6 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.87         0.68         0.55         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 29                     SE 20        
DISPERSION            26                        7            

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-281115-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      57-62 (-2)   47-52 (+1)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      62-67 (+6)   92-97 (+1)   73-78        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 13 G27                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G18     LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.89         0.79         0.63         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     SE 24        
DISPERSION            24                        6            
MAX LVORI             5                         5            

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 26. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-5)   41-46 (-5)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      59-64 (+14)  91-96 (+10)  64-69        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 12 G22                 NE  6 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  8 G18    LGT/VAR      NE  5        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          50           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            1            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.40         0.18         0.74         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     E 21         
DISPERSION            43                        16           

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS NEAR 30.
NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 15 TO 25. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      56-61 (-6)   41-46 (-7)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      61-66 (+11)  95-100 (+18) 65-70        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SW 14 G27                 NE  7        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G20    LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          70           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            3            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.52         0.30         0.50         
LASI                  3                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2700                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 31                     E 22         
DISPERSION            38                        20           

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-281115-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
505 AM EST FRI FEB 27 2009 /405 AM CST FRI FEB 27 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT          

CLOUD COVER           CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      59-64 (-3)   46-51 (-4)   48-53        
RH % (24H TREND)      56-61 (+3)   94-99 (+14)  60-65        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G22                  N  7 G16     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6 G15     LGT/VAR      N  7 G15     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          80           90           
PRECIP DURATION       5            8            5            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.95         0.66         0.41         
LASI                  2                         2            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2600                      2300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     E 16         
DISPERSION            34                        15           

REMARKS...A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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