
414 
FNUS54 KMRX 210958
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND COLD FRONT WILL PRODUCE RAIN AND SNOW 
SHOWERS LATE TODAY INTO SUNDAY. A LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATION IS 
POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA...NORTHEAST TENNESSEE AND THE 
SMOKIES BY SUNDAY MORNING. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-221030-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+15)  21-26 (+6)   26-31        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-6)   68-73 (+2)   45-50        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6 G16                  W 10 G19     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    SW  9 G20    NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.05         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     W 20         
DISPERSION            32                        38           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 9 TO 17. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 19. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL. HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S
TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-221030-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+17)  19-24 (+4)   27-32        
RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-11)  70-75 (+11)  43-48        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    SW  9 G20    NW 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            70           50           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.11         0.04         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 13                      W 24         
DISPERSION            13                        30           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 8 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-221030-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      42-47 (+13)  19-24 (+3)   28-33        
RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-13)  79-84 (+12)  37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G16                  NW 12 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 14 G25    SW 10 G25    NW 12 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SNOW SHOWERS SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           40           
PRECIP DURATION                    3            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.17         0.03         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 20        
DISPERSION            18                        21           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 7 TO 19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-221030-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+12)  21-26 (+1)   33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      16-21 (-8)   73-78 (+11)  33-38        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G22    W  9 G22     NW 12 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           10           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM         CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.16         0.01         
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4000                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      NW 20        
DISPERSION            29                        37           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 8 TO 19. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 11 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-221030-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+12)  22-27 (+4)   34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      14-19 (-9)   70-75 (+6)   32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW 13 G24    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G20    SW  8 G18    NW 14 G25    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    2                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.15         0.00         
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3800                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      NW 24        
DISPERSION            20                        42           
MAX LVORI             4                         2            

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 10 TO 18. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 21. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-221030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+15)  22-27 (+6)   31-36        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-7)   67-72 (+3)   41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   W 10 G21     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G23    SW  8        W 12 G22     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           20           
PRECIP DURATION                    2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN                       CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.13         0.04         
LASI                  4                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4700                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      W 20         
DISPERSION            38                        46           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 12 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-221030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+11)  22-27 (+3)   32-37        
RH % (24H TREND)      19-24 (-4)   68-73 (+1)   37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  9 G18    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    W  8 G16     NW 10 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.13         0.03         
LASI                  5                         3            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4500                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 22                     NW 18        
DISPERSION            60                        48           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 30S.
HIGHS IN THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-221030-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
458 AM EST SAT FEB 21 2009 /358 AM CST SAT FEB 21 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+10)  22-27 (+1)   36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      20-25 (0)    69-74 (+4)   30-35        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G18                  NW 10 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    W  8 G16     NW 11 G21    
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           0            
PRECIP DURATION       1            2                         
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         CONTINUING                
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.10         0.00         
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 22                      NW 22        
DISPERSION            59                        58           

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 21. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 18 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. HIGHS NEAR 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S
TO LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S TO LOWER 60S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 

$$

TG/TD






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