
664 
FNUS54 KMRX 180412 AAA
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...UPDATED
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN 
REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING A WARM FRONT INTO THE AREA ALONG WITH 
OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE 
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES 
INTO THE REGION. A FEW STORMS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING 
COULD BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. A FEW SNOW 
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...MAINLY 
ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WHERE SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS 
WILL BE POSSIBLE. 


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190515-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+23)  49-54 (+1)   28-33        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      72-77 (-17)  53-58 (+33)  95-100       47-52        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G26                  W 14 G25     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SW 11 G22    W 13 G24     W 16 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.23         0.35         0.07         0.04         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 30                      W 31         
DISPERSION                         1                         79           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
12 TO 19. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 25. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190515-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      36-41 (+23)  48-53 (+1)   28-33        30-35        
RH % (24H TREND)      71-76 (-14)  54-59 (+30)  95-100       44-49        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 16 G31                  W 18 G33     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G20     SW 14 G28    W 16 G28     W 20 G34     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SNOW SHOWERS 
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     90           100          60           40           
PRECIP DURATION       3            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.26         0.40         0.10         0.04         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 29                     W 33         
DISPERSION                         1                         64           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
13 TO 20. WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 19 TO 26. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-190515-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+21)  49-54 (+3)   28-33        33-38        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (+1)   56-61 (+32)  95-100       37-42        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 18 G36                  W 15 G27     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G27     SW 18 G34    W 15 G32     W 16 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.42         0.09         0.04         
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1900                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     W 29         
DISPERSION                         1                         47           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 28. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
5 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
25 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-190515-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      38-43 (+19)  53-58 (+3)   31-36        39-44        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   61-66 (+40)  94-99        32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 17 G31                  NW 12 G22    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G25     S 18 G32     W 13 G27     NW 14 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.47         0.45         0.09         0.02         
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1500                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 39                     NW 25        
DISPERSION                         1                         64           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 14 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 5 TO 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-190515-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+19)  52-57 (+1)   31-36        38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+3)   67-72 (+47)  95-100       32-37        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G26                  NW 14 G25    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G20     S 16 G29     W 13 G27     NW 15 G27    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          60           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            8            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.39         0.46         0.12         0.02         
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 30                     NW 30        
DISPERSION                                                   72           
MAX LVORI                          8                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS NEAR 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190515-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      37-42 (+21)  51-56 (+2)   30-35        34-39        
RH % (24H TREND)      75-80 (-9)   56-61 (+33)  93-98        41-46        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 10 G20                  W 14 G26     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SW 11 G22    W 13 G23     W 16 G28     
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           60           30           
PRECIP DURATION       4            7            2            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.32         0.37         0.07         0.03         
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S 24                      W 30         
DISPERSION                         5                         90           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 14 TO 20. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190515-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      39-44 (+20)  54-59 (+4)   31-36        36-41        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   54-59 (+30)  87-92        35-40        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 14 G26                  W 12 G22     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     SW 13 G24    W 12 G22     W 14 G23     
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          90           50           20           
PRECIP DURATION       4            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.43         0.36         0.05         0.02         
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1600                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 37                     W 25         
DISPERSION                         14                        82           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
5 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-190515-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
1112 PM EST TUE FEB 17 2009 /1012 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2009/

                      TONIGHT      WED          WED NIGHT    THU          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      41-46 (+19)  55-60 (+4)   32-37        41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   57-62 (+34)  86-91        29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  S 13 G24                  NW 11 G21    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G23     SW 12 G23    W 12 G22     NW 13 G24    
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS      SHOWERS      
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     100          100          40           20           
PRECIP DURATION       6            5            1            1            
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   CONTINUING   7 PM         
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.57         0.45         0.06         0.02         
LASI                               2                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 1400                      5000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 36                     NW 26        
DISPERSION                         13                        87           

REMARKS...NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. NORTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$








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