
193 
FNUS54 KMRX 151953
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS 
TONIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES COOL...SOME SNOW SHOWERS MAY 
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS 
FOR MONDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-162100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   36-41 (-5)   16-21        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      78-83 (-6)   32-37 (-13)  77-82        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G16                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  9 G18    LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6100                      3100         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     SW 12        
DISPERSION                         60                        11           

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 25. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. LOWS
18 TO 23. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-162100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      23-28 (-3)   34-39 (-6)   15-20        45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      88-93 (+2)   35-40 (-12)  79-84        27-32        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G19                 LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         NW 10 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     70           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 6000                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     SW  9        
DISPERSION                         54                        9            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 27. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 18 TO
26. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-162100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      22-27 (-4)   39-44 (-5)   19-24        47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      82-87 (+2)   31-36 (-11)  71-76        25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  7         N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      SW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5500                      4200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 16                      SW 12        
DISPERSION                         33                        16           

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS 16 TO
26. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 29. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-162100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   47-52 (-3)   22-27        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      79-84 (+3)   25-30 (-10)  68-73        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  7 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G17     N  8 G15     LGT/VAR      S  8         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 18                      SW 14        
DISPERSION                         43                        22           

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 17 TO 27.
HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 27. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-162100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      26-31 (-3)   47-52 (-6)   21-26        50-55        
RH % (24H TREND)      70-75 (-10)  21-26 (-11)  72-77        23-28        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  8 G15                  LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  8 G16     NW  9 G17    LGT/VAR      S  7         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4900                      3500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 20                      SW 13        
DISPERSION                         46                        14           
MAX LVORI                          2                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
19 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-162100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-3)   39-44 (-5)   17-22        49-54        
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+5)   35-40 (-7)   87-92        28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     60           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       2                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            3 AM                                                
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5800                      3400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 15                     SW 10        
DISPERSION                         55                        18           

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-162100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   44-49 (-3)   22-27        51-56        
RH % (24H TREND)      84-89 (+4)   30-35 (-8)   71-76        26-31        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  5                      LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  6         N  7         LGT/VAR      SW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               4                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 15                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         53                        33           

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS IN THE 20S.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS
IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-162100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
253 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2009 /153 PM CST SUN FEB 15 2009/

                      TONIGHT      MON          MON NIGHT    TUE          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLEAR       MCLEAR       PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      27-32 (-5)   47-52 (-2)   24-29        53-58        
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (+1)   24-29 (-13)  67-72        24-29        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  N  6                      SE  6        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     N  9 G16     N  7         LGT/VAR      S  9         
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION       1                                                   
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                                
PRECIP END            12 AM                                               
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                               5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4600                      3800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N 17                      SW 15        
DISPERSION                         51                        35           

REMARKS...NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER.
HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$








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