
331 
FNUS54 KMRX 150906
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL BRING A CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS 
TONIGHT. AS TEMPERATURES COOL...SOME SNOW SHOWERS MAY 
DEVELOP...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER TERRAIN. DRIER WEATHER RETURNS 
FOR  MONDAY...AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN 
APPALACHIAN REGION.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-161100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-6)   22-27 (-4)   38-43        
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-16)  87-92 (+3)   29-34        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  5        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         5 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.00         
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5500         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NW 14        
DISPERSION            3                         40           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 15 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 19 TO 27. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO
MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 24. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 23. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-161100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-5)   23-28 (-3)   37-42        
RH % (24H TREND)      40-45 (-20)  83-88 (-3)   31-36        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  8 G16    
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  9 G18    
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         5 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.05         0.00         
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      5400         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW  3                     NW 16        
DISPERSION            2                         35           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 28. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS 18 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ072-074-161100-
GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (-3)   24-29 (-2)   41-46        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-23)  78-83 (-2)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  7 G15     
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  5         N  8 G17     
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         5 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         
LASI                  3                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4900         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      N 12         
DISPERSION            2                         16           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S TO MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO 29. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 14 TO 25. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER
40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS 16 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. 

$$

TNZ087-102-161100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (0)    27-32 (-2)   46-51        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-31)  73-78 (-3)   20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW  5        N  6         NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  3                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W  5                      N 13         
DISPERSION            5                         24           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS 18 TO
29. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO
LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 17 TO 27. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

NCZ060-061-161100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+2)   28-33 (-1)   45-50        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-32)  73-78 (-7)   20-25        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   N  5         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      NW  7        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  4                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4300         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW  7                     N 15         
DISPERSION            6                         27           
MAX LVORI             6                         3            

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 18 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 19 TO 26. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-161100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 1-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (-5)   24-29 (-4)   42-47        
RH % (24H TREND)      36-41 (-21)  80-85 (-4)   28-33        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   NW  5        
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      NW  6        
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         3 AM                      
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.00         
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      5200         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      NW 10        
DISPERSION            4                         32           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 17 TO 27. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO MID 50S. EAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO UPPER 50S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-161100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 2-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (-3)   26-31 (-3)   44-49        
RH % (24H TREND)      33-38 (-16)  73-78 (-7)   25-30        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR      
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      N  5         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            20           0            
PRECIP DURATION                    1                         
PRECIP BEGIN                       7 PM                      
PRECIP END                         12 AM                     
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.00         
LASI                  5                         4            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4800         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   N  3                      N  9         
DISPERSION            5                         27           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 29. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. EAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COLDER. LOWS IN THE
20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-161100-
TENNESSEE FORESTRY DISTRICT 3-
406 AM EST SUN FEB 15 2009 /306 AM CST SUN FEB 15 2009/

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      MON          

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR       
TEMP (24H TREND)      51-56 (-4)   28-33 (-4)   47-52        
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (-23)  69-74 (-6)   22-27        
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NE  5                     N  6         
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      N  6         N  6         
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            
PRECIP DURATION                                              
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 
PRECIP END                                                   
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         
LASI                  5                         5            
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3200                      4000         
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   E  3                      N 10         
DISPERSION            6                         26           

REMARKS...NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE 20S. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 50S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. 
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN
THE 50S TO MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER. LOWS IN THE
MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH. 

$$









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